Cleaner Greener China

May 13, 2009

Electonic Cars in China Face Tough Road Ahead

Filed under: Greener Products, Uncategorized — Tags: , — Rich @ 11:54 pm

Last week, while attending the FCC luncheon on China’s auto sector, a bit of time was spent on the clean car segment in China.  It is a segment that has received a lot of attention lately as many of China’s firm launch their products, global investors look to China’s prowess in the battery sector, and the Shanghai Auto show put a lot of green out on display.

But for one consultant, Klaus  of TNS, he is seeing things differently.  That while China is clearly looking to make a name for itself as a producer of clean / renewable energy cars, it is going to find it difficult to develop a domestic market for these products.  Unlike the solar industry, which also suffers from low demand, the primary issue is not providing subsidies – or even the pricing – but the positioning of green cars within the consumer mindset.

Klaus’s point was facilitated through a diagram like the one above ( I have recreated it based on my notes) that looks to profile the buying habits of buyers based on 4 characteristics, and whether or not they are: extroverts, introverts, aspirational, or affiliative.

So, the typical Ferrari or Hummer owner would fall into an extrovert / aspirational, where as a Buick minivan owner is more likely to fall into the affiliative section where affiliative buyers are following friends, buying safe, and buying for value to money.

A picture that when complete, he had 20 or so makes and models n the board with a story for each buyer.

When looking at this from the perspective of the green cars though, and in the context of the four types of buyers, it became more complex.  That partly due to their new entrance into the market, their limited selection and/ or differentiation, and price points made to hit the middle market, green cars were having a tough time finding a home.

Sure, the Tesla was for the extroverted/ aspirational buyer, but what was the likely market for BYD’s new e6?  Who, not the early adopters, would become the buyers of products that were seen as having limited range and features, but good for the environment?  This was the question that he looked into, a question that lead him to see that each segment actually had different concerns – some very different.

It was an interesting discussion that revealed that there were still some hurdles in the market to be cleared, and left me to wonder a basic question – what if a regulation were to go into place that all cars had to be hybrid.  The technology exists, and there is a fairly strong case for the environmental need for the technology, and by doing so it would essentially force the market to accept the product (the product being a hybrid car).  firms could then focus on design, technology improvements, and building portfolios under that constraint.

April 23, 2009

US Fears China Cleantech Dominance. Why?

Filed under: Greener People, Greener Products — Tags: , , — Rich @ 9:31 am

Early on in my time in China, it was clear to me that the system in China was well suited for developing technologies that would become leader in the cleantech space.

They were investing in battery technologies that were going to power mobile phones and laptops to be exported in consumer goods, but the underlying investments were going into developing car/ truck technologies.

At the same time, they have been working on developing wind and water technologies by importing technologies and “adapting” them to local conditions.  Starting by manufacturing the components, forcing suppliers to China to manufacture in China, and then pumping billions into installing this equipment.

These were investments that were being made not just because of financial returns, but because there was a clear understanding that China would need these technologies.

That, unlike their counterparts in the US, they were looking at investments as social investments.  not financial ones.

A point I tried to make when reflecting on last year’s JUCCCE conference.

And now that some fruit is coming to market through the recent launch of BYD’s technology, and traditional US investors are moving away fro the US to China, there are some in the US who view this as a threat.

In his recent thoughts to the NY times article China Vies to Be World’s Leader in Electric Cars, Al Gore writes on his own blog post Electric Cars and China: Yes They Can?:

If, instead, we allow other nations to take the lead in developing the technologies of the future, we would put our entire economy at risk for the next generation. Repowering America is not only about solving the climate crisis; it’s about leading the world. If we don’t, others are sure to take our place.

Honestly, I am disappointed. Really dissapointed.

Sure, Mr. Gore is correct insofar as that by being a leader in technologies of the future, the economy secuirty of the US will be more stable, and that more jobs will likely be lost should the “Chinese” win.

But, this shouldn’t about jobs, or about who is leading … should it?

It should be about the fact that someone, in this case a Chinese indutry, stood up and took the lead when it was clear no one else was.

When Americna auto gave up, and when Japan went hybrid, the Chinese saw this as an oppotunity for themselves to develop a technology that they believed would make the market.. and they were right.

So, why must Mr. Gore, and other, now look to take that away?  Why turn this into a competition and waste time/ energy to take China off the hill?

Why cannot we simply begin acting as if this really is a global problem, and do what is necessary to ensure that the advances BYD has made – advances the Big 3 could not – are developed to their fullest potential to become a true solution that everyone can use.

Honestly, I thought that was somehow the goal here.  To develop technologies that could scale out on a global level that would reduce our emissions and addiction to oil?

Perhaps I am wrong?  Perhaps this is still about who is on top, who will keep the jobs, make the money, and control technologies.

Perhaps this really isn’t about the environment or global warming after all?

February 3, 2009

China Stimulates Hybrid Purchases

Filed under: Greener Products, Policies and Issues — Tags: , — Rich @ 7:30 am

hybrid To encourage the purchase of hybrid vehicles in 11 cities, the Ministry of Finance has recently announced a subsidy program aimed at taxi, bus, and other transport companies:

The government promised to give companies and institutions, which purchase and use such vehicles, lump sum subsidies to offset their extra cost on fueling efficient cars than ordinary ones.

Meanwhile, the central government urged local governments to subsidize the development and maintenance of energy-friendly cars.

Like the ban of plastic bags in June of 2007, I view this as a great step… that could be improved by a mandate that all new public vhicle purchases must be hybrid starting in 2009.

October 19, 2008

China’s Green Cars

Filed under: Greener Products — Tags: , — Rich @ 9:35 am

The recent news that Warren Buffet has invested in battery maker BYD, and the news that BYD is going to launch it first car next month, are simply signs of things to come. There are solar cars, hybrid cars, new engines, and so on.

One of the more interesting exposes on China’s green fleet came earlier this month in Forbes (authored by Chris O’Brien).  In his article China’s Green Cars, and through his pictures, one will gain a much better sense of where this industry is going..

In Beijing, environmental officials are desperate to shift the toxic haze that lurks over the capital’s Second Ring Road but their task is rendered futile by the addition of 1,000 new cars to the city streets every day. And then there is the soaring demand for oil, which forced China to raise its crude oil imports by 12.3% in 2007.

and how unlike their American counterparts, the focus on green cars in China is a driving force for the government  who is looking to address these issues.

The Chinese government has responded by investing billions of yuan to commission domestic car manufacturers such as Chery and Changan Auto to develop hybrid, electric and fuel cell vehicles as part of its “863″ program, a project conceived in March 1986 to promote advanced technologies.

Through my work in China, it has become clear that where the period of 2000 to 2006 was marked by prmoting investment in the auto sector, and pushing sales, the government has made several corrections in course.  The first major one was to move buyers (as best they could) away from foreign automobiles.  It was an indication that the government was looking to support their manufacturers, and provide them with the cash flow needed to develop their global brands.

It is the investment in batteries and hybrid technologies that i began hearing about several years ago that excited me, and indicated that we were in for a second shift… to own the eco-cars of the future.

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